The world of investing is full of uncertainty. Even if we understand the past, we cannot predict the future, and past patterns are not always reliable. To maintain stability and protect my interests in an uncertain world, I need to know my own limits for change. Based on these limits, I should develop small, regular response patterns. In other words, the key to overcoming uncertainty is my own consistency, guided by the thresholds I observe in the world around me. Small, steady behaviors and habits can help manage or minimize the impact of uncertainty. No one invests without expecting the asset’s value to increase over time. The issue is that no one can truly predict the future, and even correct predictions are mostly based on probability and luck. However, from a broader perspective, microscopic risks can be managed. For example, the macro principle “Every human dies” must be 100% true, even if individual behaviors are unpredictable. - Joseph’s “just my thoughts”
Facts and fake news coexist on social media. So do claims and counterclaims. In theory, the new communication tools of social media give them equal opportunities to express themselves. It's a communication environment, unlike anything humanity has ever known. A great way to make your voice heard in this environment is to state your beliefs and connect with the people who support those beliefs through social media. Social media will connect you with sympathetic people, no matter how illogical or unpersuasive your beliefs. Traditional media can't structurally accommodate this mechanism, but it's a reality. - Joseph's "just my thoughts"