The world of investing is full of uncertainty. Even if we understand the past, we cannot predict the future, and past patterns are not always reliable. To maintain stability and protect my interests in an uncertain world, I need to know my own limits for change. Based on these limits, I should develop small, regular response patterns. In other words, the key to overcoming uncertainty is my own consistency, guided by the thresholds I observe in the world around me. Small, steady behaviors and habits can help manage or minimize the impact of uncertainty. No one invests without expecting the asset’s value to increase over time. The issue is that no one can truly predict the future, and even correct predictions are mostly based on probability and luck. However, from a broader perspective, microscopic risks can be managed. For example, the macro principle “Every human dies” must be 100% true, even if individual behaviors are unpredictable. - Joseph’s “just my thoughts”
The northern hemisphere is in summer, while the southern hemisphere is in winter. Argentina’s Patagonia experiences temperatures as low as -16 °C for a week, even during the summer season in the northern hemisphere. This phenomenon makes it clear that the season is not merely a concept of time. You are correct in viewing the season in terms of place and environment. If you live in the same place simultaneously, both the place and the environment affect human beings. Nevertheless, we keep making excuses. Making excuses about time doesn’t cost anything, and it has a universality that is easy to sympathize with… - Joseph’s “just my thoughts”