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Just my thoughts #0820

Fact Check: Humans cannot honestly know the future. It only partially predicts the future within limited scenarios and conditions. The weather forecast is an example. When you look back at the past from the present, you can understand the situation relatively accurately, but you did not fully grasp what the event was like at that time. Later, we only justify the past. One instance of preparing for a probabilistically unstable future is to consider the statistic that lowering the speed limit on highways can reduce the accident rate. However, the most reliable prediction method is to assume the future is unknown and to act only after confirming the current situation. Fact-checking is crucial in business management and investing. Avoid hasty forecasts; instead, wait until you have verified the information before acting. - Joseph’s “just my thoughts”

Just my thoughts #0155

In the Bible, David was a shepherd when he ousted the beast with pebbles and a sling, but when he threw stones at the enemy with the same pebbles and sling, he became the king’s son-in-law. The ability and tools are the same, but his life changed completely when the objects and situations of using them changed. The way to escape the crisis depends on the abilities and the ability to grasp the object and situation to which it is applied rather than the replacement or improvement of the skills and tools. Of course, luck is also important. Because luck also creates a situation. - Joseph’s “just my thoughts”