Time Preference Rate. “The Marshmallow Tale” by Joachim de Posada and Ellen Singer describes the “Marshmallow Experiment” at Stanford University. The experimenter left the child alone in the room and gave the child a marshmallow, instructing the child to eat it immediately. However, if the child did not eat it within 15 minutes, the experimenter would give the child another marshmallow. Some children waited the full 15 minutes, while others stopped waiting early. These two groups were followed for 14 years, and as a result, the more patient children showed better social and mental abilities. Those who cannot tolerate waiting are said to have a high time preference rate, while those who are patient are described as having a low time preference rate. In investment, high and low time preference ratios are not necessarily good or bad because many investments depend on luck. The key is to find and stick to methods and principles that match one’s own tendencies. - Joseph’s “just my thoughts”
There is no eternal depression or eternal boom. There is no everlasting suffering or peace. Everything follows a cyclical pattern of good times and bad times. The problem is that I can’t control the situation on my own. This means I need to change my attitude and behavior according to the circumstances. During a recession, we should prepare for prosperity, and during times of prosperity, we should prepare for recession. Our goal is not to guess or imagine but to stay aware of changing circumstances and their consequences. Do not settle for the current situation; instead, read and prepare for even minor changes. - Joseph’s “just my thoughts”