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Showing posts with the label recession

Just my thoughts #0616

In markets that trade natural products, such as agricultural, fishery, energy, and commodities markets, oversupply or at least excess supply causes problems. When supply is high, prices plummet, causing significant damage to producers; conversely, when supply is low, prices rise, and consumer sentiment diminishes. As a result, both suppliers and consumers suffer. The challenge is that it is difficult to intentionally set the level of production. Because of this, a futures market develops in situations where we have to accept what nature provides. Futures trading is a method in which a producer and a distributor agree in advance to trade the price of an item to be produced in the future, without knowing the exact quantity yet. In other words, in futures trading, the focus is on price rather than quantity. Since it is challenging to stock items that require freshness, futures trading offers advantages by allowing transactions to be made in advance. However, if supply fluctuates too much,...

Just my thoughts #0612

There is no eternal depression or eternal boom. There is no everlasting suffering or peace. Everything follows a cyclical pattern of good times and bad times. The problem is that I can’t control the situation on my own. This means I need to change my attitude and behavior according to the circumstances. During a recession, we should prepare for prosperity, and during times of prosperity, we should prepare for recession. Our goal is not to guess or imagine but to stay aware of changing circumstances and their consequences. Do not settle for the current situation; instead, read and prepare for even minor changes. - Joseph’s “just my thoughts”

Just my thoughts #0063

Even though a country's total population is decreasing, the economic situation could be improved by increasing the total economic activity of the remaining population after the decrease. Of course, there is a statistical population threshold below which this effect occurs. Nevertheless, this effect would not work in the case of a force majeure, such as a natural disaster or the outbreak of war, however, this assumption would be valid because a rapid population decline is a highly exceptional event that would not normally occur. Therefore, an increase in the economic activity of this population should be required during an economic recession. Applying this perspective, for building a solid relationship with your followers on Instagram, the number of followers is less important than the activity between them and you. This is called the "Engagement Rate (ER)". - Joseph’s “just my thoughts”