The world of investing is full of uncertainty. Even if we understand the past, we cannot predict the future, and past patterns are not always reliable. To maintain stability and protect my interests in an uncertain world, I need to know my own limits for change. Based on these limits, I should develop small, regular response patterns. In other words, the key to overcoming uncertainty is my own consistency, guided by the thresholds I observe in the world around me. Small, steady behaviors and habits can help manage or minimize the impact of uncertainty. No one invests without expecting the asset’s value to increase over time. The issue is that no one can truly predict the future, and even correct predictions are mostly based on probability and luck. However, from a broader perspective, microscopic risks can be managed. For example, the macro principle “Every human dies” must be 100% true, even if individual behaviors are unpredictable. - Joseph’s “just my thoughts”
Expertise is not “to know only me,” but “to make understanding others to know with what only I know for.” It is not expertise if I cannot persuade others by overwhelming them with my things. The expertise that failed to convince and communicate is called “stubbornness”. “Collective intelligence” is the expertise that succeeds in persuasion and communication, and does not mean a stubbornness that enforces consensus. - Joseph’s “just my thoughts”