Fact Check: Humans cannot honestly know the future. It only partially predicts the future within limited scenarios and conditions. The weather forecast is an example. When you look back at the past from the present, you can understand the situation relatively accurately, but you did not fully grasp what the event was like at that time. Later, we only justify the past. One instance of preparing for a probabilistically unstable future is to consider the statistic that lowering the speed limit on highways can reduce the accident rate. However, the most reliable prediction method is to assume the future is unknown and to act only after confirming the current situation. Fact-checking is crucial in business management and investing. Avoid hasty forecasts; instead, wait until you have verified the information before acting. - Joseph’s “just my thoughts”
Expertise is not “to know only me,” but “to make understanding others to know with what only I know for.” It is not expertise if I cannot persuade others by overwhelming them with my things. The expertise that failed to convince and communicate is called “stubbornness”. “Collective intelligence” is the expertise that succeeds in persuasion and communication, and does not mean a stubbornness that enforces consensus. - Joseph’s “just my thoughts”