In markets that trade natural products, such as agricultural, fishery, energy, and commodities markets, oversupply or at least excess supply causes problems. When supply is high, prices plummet, causing significant damage to producers; conversely, when supply is low, prices rise, and consumer sentiment diminishes. As a result, both suppliers and consumers suffer. The challenge is that it is difficult to intentionally set the level of production. Because of this, a futures market develops in situations where we have to accept what nature provides. Futures trading is a method in which a producer and a distributor agree in advance to trade the price of an item to be produced in the future, without knowing the exact quantity yet. In other words, in futures trading, the focus is on price rather than quantity. Since it is challenging to stock items that require freshness, futures trading offers advantages by allowing transactions to be made in advance. However, if supply fluctuates too much,...
In some cases, the outcome completes the intention to act. Although it wasn’t the original intention, it is a situation where the result of the action appears positively, and even the intention is glorified. Of course, the opposite can also occur. If the result of an action taken with good intentions is negative, those good intentions become a target for blame. It would be ideal if the intention and the result aligned, but that isn’t always the case. There are numerous instances where it is challenging to interpret this world full of deception and changes of heart with naivety alone. Yet, reality is shaped by the accumulation of results. If you achieve good results despite having bad intentions, it is considered luck. Skills cannot overcome luck. - Joseph’s “just my thoughts”