The world of investing is full of uncertainty. Even if we understand the past, we cannot predict the future, and past patterns are not always reliable. To maintain stability and protect my interests in an uncertain world, I need to know my own limits for change. Based on these limits, I should develop small, regular response patterns. In other words, the key to overcoming uncertainty is my own consistency, guided by the thresholds I observe in the world around me. Small, steady behaviors and habits can help manage or minimize the impact of uncertainty. No one invests without expecting the asset’s value to increase over time. The issue is that no one can truly predict the future, and even correct predictions are mostly based on probability and luck. However, from a broader perspective, microscopic risks can be managed. For example, the macro principle “Every human dies” must be 100% true, even if individual behaviors are unpredictable. - Joseph’s “just my thoughts”
In some cases, the outcome completes the intention to act. Although it wasn’t the original intention, it is a situation where the result of the action appears positively, and even the intention is glorified. Of course, the opposite can also occur. If the result of an action taken with good intentions is negative, those good intentions become a target for blame. It would be ideal if the intention and the result aligned, but that isn’t always the case. There are numerous instances where it is challenging to interpret this world full of deception and changes of heart with naivety alone. Yet, reality is shaped by the accumulation of results. If you achieve good results despite having bad intentions, it is considered luck. Skills cannot overcome luck. - Joseph’s “just my thoughts”