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Just my thoughts #0300

The concept of “going concern” in accounting emphasizes that a business must persist into the future to retain its value. This principle signifies that present value already incorporates expectations of future value; thus, a business facing uncertainty about its future will inevitably diminish in present value. It highlights the interconnectedness of present and future values, suggesting that they cannot be regarded in isolation. All stocks traded on the stock market are priced based on their anticipated future value. In essence, we trade on a future that has yet to materialize. Consequently, determining how far into the future to evaluate is a critical factor in making investment decisions. Since individuals have varying skills and perspectives on forecasting the future, selecting an investment strategy must align with one’s attitude toward time. - Joseph’s “just my thoughts”

Just my thoughts #0237

Online sales surpassed offline sales as a result of the global pandemic. Nowadays, people are purchasing signals instead of tangible items. The online environment is a web of signals. If the signal presented by the interface is not trustworthy, purchasing is not possible. For a long time, stocks have been traded based on signals that represent rights without requiring physical stock certificates. The same principle applies to gold. The challenge arises because both the tangible item and the signal react based on their value, but human greed leads to an oversupply of signals. This happens because creating a signal is much simpler than producing the actual item. The fundamental issue is that the signal serves as a representation of the tangible item. When there are more signals than tangible items, this discrepancy is termed a “bubble.” In offline contexts, signals are known as “cash.” Essentially, money is just a signal, and “trust” is crucial for believing in that signal. - Joseph’s “j...

Just my thoughts #0067

Offline retailers are going to be ruined. People assume the cause might be Internet commerce. But if you analyze the data, it doesn't make sense. In the U.S., online sales have grown more than 30-fold over the past two decades, but Internet shopping accounts for only 11% of total consumer sales. According to U.S. government statistics, Americans spend most of their income on SERVICES, NOT GOODS. This means they purchase a car rental service instead of possessing a car, a cloud service instead of having computer software and hard drives, and a fresh food delivery service every morning instead of buying the ingredients for food. It also means that people avoid buying manufactured or harvested goods, but want to buy the servitization goods in the categories of manufacturing and agriculture. This phenomenon is called " Servitization of Manufacturing". - Joseph’s “just my thoughts”

Just my thoughts #0018

It's not a generation, it's a world. The older generation thinks that Gen MZ is a different generation, but when you look deeper, you realize that the world has changed, not the generation. The older generation thinks that the offline world is more experiential and tangible, and the MZ generation is more familiar with the online world, so they regard it as a non-experiential generation because they are more indirect in human relationships and understand the offline world mainly through information. However, try going to an online shopping mall site. Suppose you want to choose clothes on a fashion site. In that case, there is nothing more real and experiential shopping than others, because not only do they display detailed fabric information and sizes, but they also have good photos of the information you can see, and even reviews from users who have already bought it. Who can do detailed and specific shopping in an offline shopping mall like this? In fact, the electronic world ...