Most people tend to underestimate themselves excessively. Many say, “Humility is the virtue,” perhaps influenced by social environment and education, but it’s more about recognizing mistakes and limitations than about one’s own potential. That is, self-judgment based on experience. Of course, there will be mistakes and limitations in the future that we haven’t yet encountered, but the possibilities and achievements will be just as numerous. If we assume the odds are about equal, then we shouldn’t need to underrate ourselves. Excessive self-confidence or showiness is a problem, but so is underconfidence. Too much or too little is called arrogance. In Christianity, it’s considered “sin.” - Joseph’s “just my thoughts”
We often play ladder games when betting. If you want to win, you can choose the option as far as possible from the marked “tagger”. If the “tagger” is displayed on the middle option, the most likely chance of not getting caught is when selecting the option at both ends. If you have a tag on one end, you can avoid the tag by choosing the other side end option. This is because the probability of winning a ladder game follows the “normal distribution” model. - Joseph’s “just my thoughts”