Skip to main content

Posts

Showing posts with the label normal distribution

Just my thoughts #0709

A baseball batter cannot hit a home run every at-bat. You might make a lot of money once with luck, but that’s a fleeting way to earn. If you generate a lot of money without even preparing a bowl, you might end up unhappy. The reason for emphasizing the ‘compound effect’ in investing is because it’s one of the few sustainable methods mankind has experienced. However, compared to our greed, ‘compound interest’ seems like a small rate of return right now, so many people break the rules they need to follow and take risky investments, putting themselves in danger. We can’t hit a home run every day. Valuing small profits and working to protect them will bring us good fortune. Greed leads to destruction. - Joseph’s “just my thoughts”

Just my thoughts #0116

We often play ladder games when betting. If you want to win, you can choose the option as far as possible from the marked “tagger”. If the “tagger” is displayed on the middle option, the most likely chance of not getting caught is when selecting the option at both ends. If you have a tag on one end, you can avoid the tag by choosing the other side end option. This is because the probability of winning a ladder game follows the “normal distribution” model. - Joseph’s “just my thoughts”