In markets that trade natural products, such as agricultural, fishery, energy, and commodities markets, oversupply or at least excess supply causes problems. When supply is high, prices plummet, causing significant damage to producers; conversely, when supply is low, prices rise, and consumer sentiment diminishes. As a result, both suppliers and consumers suffer. The challenge is that it is difficult to intentionally set the level of production. Because of this, a futures market develops in situations where we have to accept what nature provides. Futures trading is a method in which a producer and a distributor agree in advance to trade the price of an item to be produced in the future, without knowing the exact quantity yet. In other words, in futures trading, the focus is on price rather than quantity. Since it is challenging to stock items that require freshness, futures trading offers advantages by allowing transactions to be made in advance. However, if supply fluctuates too much,...
We often play ladder games when betting. If you want to win, you can choose the option as far as possible from the marked “tagger”. If the “tagger” is displayed on the middle option, the most likely chance of not getting caught is when selecting the option at both ends. If you have a tag on one end, you can avoid the tag by choosing the other side end option. This is because the probability of winning a ladder game follows the “normal distribution” model. - Joseph’s “just my thoughts”