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Showing posts with the label ladder game

Just my thoughts #0806

Opportunity Cost: Making a choice means sacrificing something else at the same time because we can’t have everything. If the value of what is given up is significant, then the choice incurs a relative loss, and it is up to the CEO to recognize this as a cost. In reality, whether I am aware of the opportunity cost or not, it still impacts my current financial situation. However, to calculate profit or loss as an opportunity cost, there must be a future opportunity to forgo the current choice and select an alternative. No one should keep repeating the cycle of giving up and choosing without knowing whether the next decision will be beneficial or not. Giving up is worthwhile only when the next option is good. - Joseph’s “just my thoughts”

Just my thoughts #0116

We often play ladder games when betting. If you want to win, you can choose the option as far as possible from the marked “tagger”. If the “tagger” is displayed on the middle option, the most likely chance of not getting caught is when selecting the option at both ends. If you have a tag on one end, you can avoid the tag by choosing the other side end option. This is because the probability of winning a ladder game follows the “normal distribution” model. - Joseph’s “just my thoughts”