The most important rule in investing is not to lose your initial capital. Making money comes later. If you lose 50% of your principal, the loss rate is 50%, but to recover that principal, you need a 100% return. This is because the baseline of your return—the principal—has already been halved. Many people tend to think that if they’ve lost 50%, they only need a 50% return to break even. However, this is a misunderstanding of the starting point. In investing, the baseline is always the original principal. The principal after a loss is no longer the same; it’s already in the past. - Joseph’s “just my thoughts”
We often play ladder games when betting. If you want to win, you can choose the option as far as possible from the marked “tagger”. If the “tagger” is displayed on the middle option, the most likely chance of not getting caught is when selecting the option at both ends. If you have a tag on one end, you can avoid the tag by choosing the other side end option. This is because the probability of winning a ladder game follows the “normal distribution” model. - Joseph’s “just my thoughts”