Joseph's "Just My Thoughts"

Time Preference Rate. “The Marshmallow Tale” by Joachim de Posada and Ellen Singer describes the “Marshmallow Experiment” at Stanford University. The experimenter left the child alone in the room and gave the child a marshmallow, instructing the child to eat it immediately. However, if the child did not eat it within 15 minutes, the experimenter would give the child another marshmallow. Some children waited the full 15 minutes, while others stopped waiting early. These two groups were followed for 14 years, and as a result, the more patient children showed better social and mental abilities. Those who cannot tolerate waiting are said to have a high time preference rate, while those who are patient are described as having a low time preference rate. In investment, high and low time preference ratios are not necessarily good or bad because many investments depend on luck. The key is to find and stick to methods and principles that match one’s own tendencies. - Joseph’s “just my thoughts”

Common means relatively few limits. Therefore, the common items should be inexpensive—for example, air. But just because it’s common doesn’t mean it lacks value. It simply signifies a lower price. Just because it’s almost free doesn’t mean it’s without merit. The sector a product belongs to affects the profitable connection between value and price . Daily necessities are inexpensive because they are common, but they hold significant value. If the imbalance between value and price exceeds the risks of an exchange opportunity , a profit is generated. If you capitalize on this opportunity and take a risk to purchase the imbalance, it is referred to as an investment . Opportunities always arise from imbalance . - Joseph’s “just my thoughts”

Management is the activity of transforming uncertainty into certainty to create predictability . For example, investing in stocks when you don’t know when or how much you’ll make is a gamble , but finding a way to achieve an average return of 15% per month is management. Bank loans have a fixed schedule for when and how much principal and interest must be repaid. It is not the banking business where you can repay or request repayment at any time when you have funds. Nevertheless, we gamble or engage in a ritual for rain , mistakenly believing that it is management. - Joseph’s “just my thoughts”

Time is wiser and smarter than humans. The reason a regular income is necessary for escaping poverty is to fully utilize time’s value . If a person without a regular income invests, they must invest with money they cannot afford to wait for, which forces them to spend the investment funds while waiting for the right opportunity. This may lead to missing a good investment. If the person has already invested, they might not be able to wait to recoup their investment , resulting in debt to others . Individuals who struggle to use their time effectively due to insufficient assets must generate a regular income unconditionally . The reason for having ample assets is to buy time . - Joseph’s “just my thoughts”

The basis of any investment is time considerations. The same applies to stock investing . Which stocks to buy depends on whether you are holding short-term or long-term positions . The most significant mistake beginners make in stock investing is buying and selling stocks without following fundamental investment principles . When choosing stocks, they select them based on long-term potential, and when they sell, they do so based on short-term trading because they cannot overcome their impatience and fear that the stock price will decline. Such individuals should refrain from investing in stocks. Even after losing money, they remain unaware of the reasons for their losses, becoming individuals who harm themselves and others. - Joseph’s “just my thoughts”

Stocks should be bought cheaply and sold at a high price to make a profit. Therefore, it is said that timing—specifically, the timing of buying low and the timing of selling high—is a key factor. However, the issue is that I can’t predict the timing. It’s similar to how we can’t know what the weather will be like a year from now in our area. It’s wise to assume that the best approach is to acknowledge our uncertainty about timing. Attempting to time the market is a common trap for stock investors. Consider this: if you could know the timing, you would be the wealthiest person in the world. The advantage of long-term investing is developing the ability to identify stocks that are likely to appreciate over time, despite the fluctuations in stock prices, and investing in their value. The choice is yours. - Joseph’s “just my thoughts”

It’s not that there is no money, but rather that people can’t find a worthwhile entity to invest in. The businessman misunderstands that he can’t do what he wants simply because he lacks money. However, just as water flows to a low place, money naturally gravitates toward where it’s valued, even if you have no cents. In other words, it’s not that they don’t have money; it’s that they don’t instill the kind of trust in investors that encourages spending it. No matter how dire the situation in the country may be, money doesn’t simply evaporate. You miss opportunities because the conditions aren’t right for investment. - Joseph’s “just my thoughts”

The concept of “seed money” is crucial in business and investment; it is a notion that cannot be overemphasized. This “seed money” is termed “capital money” in accounting. If a person who is 50% profitable loses 40% simultaneously and continuously finds himself in this situation, will he become wealthy? No! Due to the 40% loss, the seed money will gradually diminish; as investments are repeated, profits will decline, leading to financial hardship. In any business or investment, it is essential to know how to preserve your seed money, and when you face losses, you must act decisively, understanding how to swiftly extricate yourself from the situation. - Joseph’s “just my thoughts”

Warren Buffett’s assets were once estimated at $82 billion. 90% of these assets have been earned by Warren Buffett since he turned 65. The way to make money over time without labor is through finance; it’s an interest. One of the most economically effective methods is ‘compounding.’ This involves deriving interest from the principal and then earning interest again on the total of the interest and principal, continually repeating this process, making compounding the most efficient money-making method discovered by humanity. The same applies to stock investments; to achieve this compounding effect, you need to earn at least a 4% annual return. However, this is only valid for long-term investments like those of Warren Buffett. - Joseph’s “just my thoughts”

Receiving an investment signifies that you are receiving a prepayment for future costs and expenses. To generate revenue, you must cover these costs upfront. If you lack the funds necessary to manage current expenses while aiming to raise revenue, you might need to borrow money or attract investments. However, as a recipient of these funds, you cannot use them freely; this money does not belong to you. Legally, your options for utilizing this money are limited: you can either receive it as a salary from your expense account, as a dividend from profits after deductions as a shareholder, or pursue official management incentives. This underscores that the invested funds are not your own. When funds are invested, it implies that profits will be derived from someone else’s money, which you will share with the investor. Although investment alleviates the immediate pressure of expenses, it simultaneously heightens your obligation to generate profits promptly. Being fully funded does not equat...

The concept of “going concern” in accounting emphasizes that a business must persist into the future to retain its value. This principle signifies that present value already incorporates expectations of future value; thus, a business facing uncertainty about its future will inevitably diminish in present value. It highlights the interconnectedness of present and future values, suggesting that they cannot be regarded in isolation. All stocks traded on the stock market are priced based on their anticipated future value. In essence, we trade on a future that has yet to materialize. Consequently, determining how far into the future to evaluate is a critical factor in making investment decisions. Since individuals have varying skills and perspectives on forecasting the future, selecting an investment strategy must align with one’s attitude toward time. - Joseph’s “just my thoughts”

Regardless of your earnings, spending is inevitable. Therefore, spending holds more significance than merely earning, and wealthy individuals emphasize teaching their children how to allocate money toward education. This highlights that human emotions and desires are central to economic theories. Spending can be categorized into two main types: “consumption” and “investment.” “Consumption” refers to expenditures on necessities or perishable goods, whereas “investment” involves acquiring assets aimed at production. Without grasping these distinctions, money spent may be seen as a “waste.” - Joseph’s “just my thoughts”

Price and value are different things. Value is relative and subjective, but price makes those numbers tangible and helps us empathize with others. The result of that empathy is a deal, an exchange. Only when value is assetized does wealth arise. The way to assetize values is to price them. In other words, pricing is the process of valuing assets. Determining whether the value assigned to an asset is appropriate is called investment. From an investor’s point of view, investment begins by questioning the objective price of an asset. Consumption is the exchange of goods and services at a price agreed upon by all parties. Consumption and investment are two distinct concepts. - Joseph’s “just my thoughts”

A shareholder is the owner of a company. A shareholder is someone who invests capital in a company. There are three ways for shareholders to take money from the invested company: 1) become an executive or employee and receive wages, 2) receive dividends after settlement, or 3) receive remaining assets (liquidation property) excluding debts when the company is liquidated. A third party investing in the company is directly irrelevant to the existing shareholders in cash flow. Despite the shareholder owning the company, there is no way to share the surplus capital caused by the investments among the existing shareholders other than 1) and 2) except for company liquidation No. 3. Let me be clear: receiving an investment does not guarantee benefits for the company. It simply covers future costs and expenses in advance. Capital inducement means increasing the heavy duty of leaving profits, not being given profits unconditionally. - Joseph’s “just my thoughts”

James Simons founded Renaissance Technologies, the leading American hedge fund investor. He was, in fact, a mathematician. The Medallion Fund he ran had also seen a 200-fold increase in Berkshire Hathaway stock yield, matching Warren Buffett's performance. It was an incredible record, plain and simple. This conclusion was a subtraction of 5% of the management fee from the fund as a GP with 44% of the compensation fee. He invested in a cutting-edge "quant system" that trades stocks using sophisticated computer-aided algorithms. To eliminate emotional interference, the finance industry excluded employees. However, they recruited doctors like him from the science and technology fields. Even having extensive financial and investment knowledge, investment is the conclusion of action. Sound judgment beyond feelings is crucial for investment, but feelings are a variable. It's challenging to become wealthy if you don't control your emotions. In other words, emotions are a...

In wealth, the first is value exchange and the second is added value. "Value exchange" occurs when "need (demand)" comes first. Making and exchanging bread with wheat is a value exchange. The price of bread is higher than the price of wheat grain. The price difference is value added. For value-added to occur, "benefit" must be provided. To provide this "benefit", you have to incur costs and expenses. This is called investment. In other words, the value added is the result of the investment, the surplus is subtracting the costs and expenses from the supply price. You can calculate the value added to make a profit if you first know your investment condition and its amount. "Wealth" only occurs when "value-added" is accumulated. - Joseph’s “just my thoughts”

In mathematics, a "recursive proposition" is a proposition whose true or false value is fed back into the proposition itself. For example, "I can never allow this to happen before I die!" is a recursive proposition. Unfortunately, the condition for proving that this is possible is that I die. The problem is that you are dead once, you can not be longer the person who gives permission. This phenomenon also occurs in the investment business. The most common example of this is an investment in stocks. This is a recursive proposition because if the price of a stock goes up and you sell it, the sales volume directly affects the price. Therefore, the number of shares (trading volume) is one of the most important factors to be considerable when investing in stocks. This property of recursive propositions is a good explanation for why the large trading of stock volumes is difficult to work. - Joseph’s “just my thoughts”