Stocks should be bought cheaply and sold at a high price to make a profit. Therefore, it is said that timing—specifically, the timing of buying low and the timing of selling high—is a key factor. However, the issue is that I can’t predict the timing. It’s similar to how we can’t know what the weather will be like a year from now in our area. It’s wise to assume that the best approach is to acknowledge our uncertainty about timing. Attempting to time the market is a common trap for stock investors. Consider this: if you could know the timing, you would be the wealthiest person in the world. The advantage of long-term investing is developing the ability to identify stocks that are likely to appreciate over time, despite the fluctuations in stock prices, and investing in their value. The choice is yours. - Joseph’s “just my thoughts”
In 2002, Nobel Prize-winning economist Daniel Kahneman conducted an experiment called the “Dictator Game”. It was 1986. One of the two subjects was given $20 to share with the other. The first condition was that the recipient could exercise his veto power if he did not like the distribution ratio, and then, the ruler ensured that the giver did not have the money. The second condition eliminated the veto. In the first condition, most people who gave money were divided in half. In the second condition, however, the giver had about 70% and shared only 30%. Most people think of fairness to vested interests between 50% and 70%. But, in some cases, even though the recipient had a veto, the giver had 90% and wanted to share only 10%. At that time, it was beneficial for the recipient to receive at least 10%, but by exercising the veto power, the giver did not have the money either. This is the moment of conflict between justice and rationality. People do not make decisions based on reason alon...