The world of investing is full of uncertainty. Even if we understand the past, we cannot predict the future, and past patterns are not always reliable. To maintain stability and protect my interests in an uncertain world, I need to know my own limits for change. Based on these limits, I should develop small, regular response patterns. In other words, the key to overcoming uncertainty is my own consistency, guided by the thresholds I observe in the world around me. Small, steady behaviors and habits can help manage or minimize the impact of uncertainty. No one invests without expecting the asset’s value to increase over time. The issue is that no one can truly predict the future, and even correct predictions are mostly based on probability and luck. However, from a broader perspective, microscopic risks can be managed. For example, the macro principle “Every human dies” must be 100% true, even if individual behaviors are unpredictable. - Joseph’s “just my thoughts”
For leadership to be good, one must always grow up with self-objectivity and self-verification. It refers to admitting when something is wrong immediately and changing direction and attitude. However, this meta-recognition property presents a significant obstacle to leadership. People tend to follow a leader who sides with them rather than one who possesses exemplary character and ability. The more reasonable the leaders are, the easier it is to overlook this phenomenon, and the more likely they are to make enemies in the process of making sensible and correct decisions. This raises the question: do you need to be a good leader? Not necessarily. The basic rule is not to use an inflexible yardstick. - Joseph’s “just my thoughts”