Walt Disney gained worldwide fame with the animated film ‘Steamboat Willie,’ but Disney’s first studio went bankrupt. By the mid-1930s, he had produced over 400 animations, most of which suffered heavy losses. In 1938, Snow White and the Seven Dwarfs made $8 million in just the first half—more than ten times the earnings of other films. Meanwhile, with this animation, the company paid overdue wages to its employees and recovered the losses it had sustained. An unusual event that changes everything is called a “tail event.” 40% of publicly listed companies in the U.S. stock market lose nearly all their market capitalization 10 years after going public. Business and investing, after all, are based on probabilities. No one knows what the “tail event” will be. Therefore, to succeed, you need to try small, steady, many times with little impact, even if you fail. - Joseph’s “just my thoughts”
If a New Zealand fisherman catches a seabream in New Zealand, he makes a profit of $9 per kilogram, but if a tourist catches it, $88 goes back to New Zealand. This is because to fish a seabream, the tourist has to spend money on flights, hotels, and all sorts of rentals. The opportunity cost and value-added will change as B2B becomes B2C. - Joseph's "just my thoughts"