The world of investing is full of uncertainty. Even if we understand the past, we cannot predict the future, and past patterns are not always reliable. To maintain stability and protect my interests in an uncertain world, I need to know my own limits for change. Based on these limits, I should develop small, regular response patterns. In other words, the key to overcoming uncertainty is my own consistency, guided by the thresholds I observe in the world around me. Small, steady behaviors and habits can help manage or minimize the impact of uncertainty. No one invests without expecting the asset’s value to increase over time. The issue is that no one can truly predict the future, and even correct predictions are mostly based on probability and luck. However, from a broader perspective, microscopic risks can be managed. For example, the macro principle “Every human dies” must be 100% true, even if individual behaviors are unpredictable. - Joseph’s “just my thoughts”
In his book Rhetoric, Aristotle identifies three conditions for the persuasion of people: ethos, pathos, and logos. Simply put, ethos is the inherent character of the persuader. Pathos is the emotional state of the persuadee, and logos is the logic of the persuader. The order of importance is ethos, pathos, and logos. If you want to be an influencer, define your identity, nurture yourself, and listen to your reputation, which is 60% and the psychological state of the listener is 30%. Therefore, who and what you are is the most important thing, and the timing synchronized with the psychological state of the persuadee is the second. However, the inferior people are more obsessed with logic and are more convinced. They define people and judge the world based on whether someone is right or wrong. Then they will continue to live a life of 10% inferiors. - Joseph’s “just my thoughts”