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Showing posts with the label Kahneman

Just my thoughts #0714

According to Morgan Housel, a financial author, whether an investor is safety-oriented or risk-oriented is mainly shaped by early adult experiences, not by intelligence or education. It depends on where and when a person is born. The region I live in, including my country and the era, greatly influences a person’s economic outlook and ability. If you feel ‘no way,’ you might need to change your location. Even when evaluating others, if you estimate ‘no way,’ you should consider having them leave the place. In the Bible, when someone changes their life, the first thing God does is move them from one place to another. - Joseph’s “just my thoughts”

Just my thoughts #0039

The Anchoring Heuristic In 1974, Tversky and Kahneman divided two groups and asked one group to calculate the value of "8x7x6x5x4x3x2x1" and the other group to answer the question "1x2x3x4x5x6x7x8" immediately. The average calculation result of the first group was 2,250, and that of the second group was 512. For both groups, the original answer is 40,320, which is the same. Although they multiplied by the same number, the first group multiplied by the order of the larger number, resulting in a higher baseline adjustment, while the second group did the opposite. When we judge and make decisions, the reference point determines the extent and direction of our illusion. When we live, we have to deal with these fallible human beings. - Joseph's "just my thoughts"