Chain Reactions and Links: A phenomenon where one event continuously influences subsequent events, connected by a common link. For example, when the central bank raises the base rate, interest rates at private banks increase, which raises the cost of loans for citizens and leads to higher prices. Interest from central banks, interest from private banks, interest on loans from citizens, and increased production costs are all interconnected, so a change in one part affects the entire system. This is a chain reaction. A decline in one area can cause missed revenue opportunities because everything is connected. The link creates this connection. In the example above, the link is the act of borrowing money, which is essentially a loan. To stop the chain reaction, you must identify and break the link in the chain. - Joseph’s “just my thoughts”
The Anchoring Heuristic In 1974, Tversky and Kahneman divided two groups and asked one group to calculate the value of "8x7x6x5x4x3x2x1" and the other group to answer the question "1x2x3x4x5x6x7x8" immediately. The average calculation result of the first group was 2,250, and that of the second group was 512. For both groups, the original answer is 40,320, which is the same. Although they multiplied by the same number, the first group multiplied by the order of the larger number, resulting in a higher baseline adjustment, while the second group did the opposite. When we judge and make decisions, the reference point determines the extent and direction of our illusion. When we live, we have to deal with these fallible human beings. - Joseph's "just my thoughts"