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Showing posts with the label Kahneman

Just my thoughts #0790

Liquidation Value: All valuations consider present and future values. Value is generated over time. It begins in the present and extends into the future. This ongoing value is referred to as continuing value. Countries, corporations, households, and individuals set current values based on the belief that the present state will persist. What happens if it does not continue? It loses its future value. This state is known as the liquidation value. For example, this occurs if you quit your business. Almost all investments involve buying and selling assets based on their future worth. If you buy at a price lower than the liquidation value, you make a significant profit. If you buy at the liquidation value, you pay a fair price. If you pay more, you risk overpaying or buying a bubble. Value depends on time. Continuing a process is key to valuation. - Joseph’s “just my thoughts”

Just my thoughts #0039

The Anchoring Heuristic In 1974, Tversky and Kahneman divided two groups and asked one group to calculate the value of "8x7x6x5x4x3x2x1" and the other group to answer the question "1x2x3x4x5x6x7x8" immediately. The average calculation result of the first group was 2,250, and that of the second group was 512. For both groups, the original answer is 40,320, which is the same. Although they multiplied by the same number, the first group multiplied by the order of the larger number, resulting in a higher baseline adjustment, while the second group did the opposite. When we judge and make decisions, the reference point determines the extent and direction of our illusion. When we live, we have to deal with these fallible human beings. - Joseph's "just my thoughts"