Wagons are believed to have been first created in western Asia around 3500 BC. Initially, because the wheels were disc-shaped, they were pulled by cattle due to their heaviness. However, after the invention of spoke wheels, horses could pull the wagons because they were lighter. Naturally, there was a big difference between the speed of a wagon pulled by cattle and one pulled by a horse. This led to a decrease in travel time. A minor adjustment to the spoke design sparked a significant change in human civilization. Nearly all innovations start small, but even the tiniest change can have enormous consequences. Many unseen factors contribute to this innovation in our lives. - Joseph’s “just my thoughts”
The Anchoring Heuristic In 1974, Tversky and Kahneman divided two groups and asked one group to calculate the value of "8x7x6x5x4x3x2x1" and the other group to answer the question "1x2x3x4x5x6x7x8" immediately. The average calculation result of the first group was 2,250, and that of the second group was 512. For both groups, the original answer is 40,320, which is the same. Although they multiplied by the same number, the first group multiplied by the order of the larger number, resulting in a higher baseline adjustment, while the second group did the opposite. When we judge and make decisions, the reference point determines the extent and direction of our illusion. When we live, we have to deal with these fallible human beings. - Joseph's "just my thoughts"