Skip to main content

Posts

Showing posts with the label Kahneman

Just my thoughts #0650

Invisibly, we engage in a fierce struggle with ‘time.’ Both economic activities and wealth accumulation are battles against time. Time is fair and irreversible. Therefore, it makes sense to evaluate and judge the value of an asset based on time. Additionally, we analyze past records to assess and forecast the future, while also avoiding current deprivation by bringing the concept of ‘future’ into the present to compensate for insufficient assets. All of this is the magic of time. The past influences the present, and the future shapes the present. The present of the past is molded by the current moment, and the future will also attempt to predict what lies ahead by examining the present. We live by differentials and sometimes integrals. I believe this phenomenon occurs because the concept of infinity exists. - Joseph’s “just my thoughts”

Just my thoughts #0039

The Anchoring Heuristic In 1974, Tversky and Kahneman divided two groups and asked one group to calculate the value of "8x7x6x5x4x3x2x1" and the other group to answer the question "1x2x3x4x5x6x7x8" immediately. The average calculation result of the first group was 2,250, and that of the second group was 512. For both groups, the original answer is 40,320, which is the same. Although they multiplied by the same number, the first group multiplied by the order of the larger number, resulting in a higher baseline adjustment, while the second group did the opposite. When we judge and make decisions, the reference point determines the extent and direction of our illusion. When we live, we have to deal with these fallible human beings. - Joseph's "just my thoughts"