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Showing posts with the label Kahneman

Just my thoughts #0582

When a stock is bought, its fate is already decided. The next step is to wait and sell. In the meantime, there is nothing I can do. If I buy a stock and claim that I can do something with it, that means I’m committing a stock manipulation crime. Either wait patiently or don’t tolerate it; sell the stocks. That’s all we can do with stocks after purchasing them. Therefore, patience is as critical an asset as judgment. - Joseph’s “just my thoughts”

Just my thoughts #0039

The Anchoring Heuristic In 1974, Tversky and Kahneman divided two groups and asked one group to calculate the value of "8x7x6x5x4x3x2x1" and the other group to answer the question "1x2x3x4x5x6x7x8" immediately. The average calculation result of the first group was 2,250, and that of the second group was 512. For both groups, the original answer is 40,320, which is the same. Although they multiplied by the same number, the first group multiplied by the order of the larger number, resulting in a higher baseline adjustment, while the second group did the opposite. When we judge and make decisions, the reference point determines the extent and direction of our illusion. When we live, we have to deal with these fallible human beings. - Joseph's "just my thoughts"