The most important aspect of investing is managing risk. However, in most cases, risk management is interpreted and assessed in relation to past patterns. When asset prices fall, the perceived risk appears significant. That doesn’t imply there weren’t risks; investors simply didn’t recognize the risks that originally existed. The level of risk is almost identical whether the price of an asset goes up or down, but when prices decline, they tend to drop further because fear prevents us from purchasing more assets, leading us to retreat. It’s not that the risk has escalated. It is unwise to link risk with past patterns. There have been numerous exceptions in the world, and many beings on this planet have disappeared because they could not adapt. Did dinosaurs not become extinct on Earth? Exceptions are exceptions because they are unpredictable. - Joseph’s “just my thoughts”
Offline retailers are going to be ruined. People assume the cause might be Internet commerce. But if you analyze the data, it doesn't make sense. In the U.S., online sales have grown more than 30-fold over the past two decades, but Internet shopping accounts for only 11% of total consumer sales. According to U.S. government statistics, Americans spend most of their income on SERVICES, NOT GOODS. This means they purchase a car rental service instead of possessing a car, a cloud service instead of having computer software and hard drives, and a fresh food delivery service every morning instead of buying the ingredients for food. It also means that people avoid buying manufactured or harvested goods, but want to buy the servitization goods in the categories of manufacturing and agriculture. This phenomenon is called " Servitization of Manufacturing". - Joseph’s “just my thoughts”