The world of investing is full of uncertainty. Even if we understand the past, we cannot predict the future, and past patterns are not always reliable. To maintain stability and protect my interests in an uncertain world, I need to know my own limits for change. Based on these limits, I should develop small, regular response patterns. In other words, the key to overcoming uncertainty is my own consistency, guided by the thresholds I observe in the world around me. Small, steady behaviors and habits can help manage or minimize the impact of uncertainty. No one invests without expecting the asset’s value to increase over time. The issue is that no one can truly predict the future, and even correct predictions are mostly based on probability and luck. However, from a broader perspective, microscopic risks can be managed. For example, the macro principle “Every human dies” must be 100% true, even if individual behaviors are unpredictable. - Joseph’s “just my thoughts”
Famous for his book "The Gun, the Germs and Steel," the great scholar "Jared Diamond" speaks 13 foreign languages. Once he made the wrong decision to change his job. He wanted to leave the field of science behind and become a "simultaneous interpreter." In the United States, however, speaking 13 languages seemed competitive, but being able to speak many languages in other parts of the world could not be competitive. Before doing a preferred occupation or doing something better than others, you should calmly be able to figure out your field of action first. - Joseph’s "just my thoughts"