Fact Check: Humans cannot honestly know the future. It only partially predicts the future within limited scenarios and conditions. The weather forecast is an example. When you look back at the past from the present, you can understand the situation relatively accurately, but you did not fully grasp what the event was like at that time. Later, we only justify the past. One instance of preparing for a probabilistically unstable future is to consider the statistic that lowering the speed limit on highways can reduce the accident rate. However, the most reliable prediction method is to assume the future is unknown and to act only after confirming the current situation. Fact-checking is crucial in business management and investing. Avoid hasty forecasts; instead, wait until you have verified the information before acting. - Joseph’s “just my thoughts”
Famous for his book "The Gun, the Germs and Steel," the great scholar "Jared Diamond" speaks 13 foreign languages. Once he made the wrong decision to change his job. He wanted to leave the field of science behind and become a "simultaneous interpreter." In the United States, however, speaking 13 languages seemed competitive, but being able to speak many languages in other parts of the world could not be competitive. Before doing a preferred occupation or doing something better than others, you should calmly be able to figure out your field of action first. - Joseph’s "just my thoughts"